This month, Microsoft has improved its prices Copilota For Office 365, and you get a lot for an additional 30 USD per month. But it also resembles a product called Interrogation that I followed the early 90s, just before the Internet. At that time I worked for IBM, who thought about competing with Crosstalk, but like Microsoft Office, he had so many functions and so great compatibility of Legacy, and the conclusion was that creating an effective meter would cost too much.
A few months later, the internet was launched and the audition was toast. His ability to talk to various information services connected on the phone simply was simply not needed because Ethernet became common. NetScape made all these old outdated things, along with services such as Compuserve, MSN and AOL.
Ai has the potential to do the same with the office. This does not necessarily mean that the brand is dead, but I expect that competitive pressure will force the content of the product to a dramatic change over the next few years.
Let me explain.
The office is getting older
The office started Under other names (-s) in the 1980s.. Initially, it was a performance package for Apple. Ultimately, it became a product of cornerstone critical for the formation of windows. Office was a complex offer that packaged internally built and purchased products, which focused on editing the text (which replaced the typewriters), database software (which replaced card files), software for presentation (which replaced Flip charts) and the product of spreadsheets, which replaced calculators and many focused main and middle offers.
Unlike the Symphony Lotus offer, which was more monolithic and failed (mainly because its core was a spreadsheet, which was less perfect than a more concentrated offer), Office was a package of products that were initially not designed for cooperation. But initially they were integrated after the fact with mixed results. The value was in the package, not in integration and a hard connection with Windows, which became the dominant operating system of desktop computers and gave it an advantage that IBM could not overcome. It is true that IBM was almost maintained when they tried it and Microsoft became a greater industry force than the falling IBM at that time.
It is an old product reaching before the Internet, which has been successfully updated so far, but I think AI will reverse the script.
Why artificial intelligence will make the office outdated
You work with AI through hints. If you want him to create a document, spreadsheet or presentation, tell me what you want, and then AI creates it. AI, not office components, focus on demand and result. He does not need a text editor, a spreadsheet program or a presentation package, he must be trained to understand and then create a result. In general, he does not need a database, because it already contains it, which informs its results.
If you ask artificial intelligence to create a picture, you do not use a photo editing package, drawing package or other focused tools such as a human artist. Instead, she takes your direction and, based on her training, creates a ready product.
Just like you don't need a typewriter or a calculator when you had a computer, office and Windows system, you don't really need a computer, office or Windows system, if you want to create a document, image, chart or analyze financial results. You only need data, a well -formed series of hints and artificial intelligence to complete the task.
In short, it is only a matter of time before someone inventing that with the appropriate trained artificial intelligence you do not need all the complexity and costs of the office. And that's enough.
Wrapping
The industry undergoes main events that observe existing technologies regarding an irregular term. The next elements of Mainframe were eliminated by accountants. PCS took out most independent technologies of desktop computers (typewriters, calculators, rolodex). Mobile phones were taken by wage phones and wired lines (they are still ongoing). The internet has taken online newsletters and most fax. Smartphones were taken by independent mp3 players, mobile phones and pages, and the iPhone itself took many companies from mobile phones.
AI will be much more destructive because it brings autonomous vehicles (land, air, water), robots and digital assistants and companions. As he matures, he will pull out controlled vehicles, many works currently performed by people and most of the existing digital ecosystem.
I expect that it will be a matter of time before someone realizes that the offer of justified productivity based completely on AI (instead of the AI overlay, such as Copilot) will be a way to do Microsoft what Microsoft did Lotus and what Apple did Nokia.
Like Apple near Steve Jobs, Microsoft could understand this exhibition and spend this product. Jobs cannibalized an iPod with an iPhone, which worked really well for Apple. It is worth noting that Microsoft came to this plan, but Steve Ballmer killed this effort in favor Zune. It didn't work well for Ballmer or Microsoft. What Apple did was very unusual because external people usually do not want to expose existing key products at the end risk. So, although Microsoft could do it, the chances that he will not see this risk soon to prevent another company from making the first one and prohibits the market.
When Microsoft penetrates artificial intelligence, there is more and more potential that he would make this move, but the leadership is still cloud, not based on AI, which can lead to a mistake similar to Nokia. We'll see. The clock is ticking at the end of the office and the appearance of a real productivity tool based on artificial intelligence.
